I noticed this story today, originally reported by a Bosnian news site, about Serbian Honour, a Russian-backed Serbian nationalist paramilitary group based in Bosnia. Its members have reportedly been trained in Serbia, have combat experience fighting alongside the pro-Russian separatist rebels in Ukraine, and are opposed to NATO's presence in the Balkans. The Russian embassy and the semi-autonomous Serbian government in Bosnia have denied that this group exists.
As a result of the 1995 Dayton Accords, Bosnia has one of the most complicated political systems in the world. To make a long story short, the country is divided into semi-autonomous entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, which is comprised of Bosniaks and Croats who are in favor of NATO membership, and the Republika Sprska, which governs the Serbs who are opposed to NATO membership. Oh, and to confuse matters further, Bosnia's presidency is shared by three people, a Bosniak, a Croat, and a Serb.
It's easy to envision a scenario resembling the situation in Ukraine, where Bosnia becomes fragmented, with a pro-Russian Slavic territory under Serbian or Russian protection.
As I described in my book SCORPION II, Russia also backed the 2016 coup attempt by Serbian paramilitaries in Montenegro. Recently, Russia has become increasingly active in the Balkans, hoping to curb Western influence in the region.
As a result of the 1995 Dayton Accords, Bosnia has one of the most complicated political systems in the world. To make a long story short, the country is divided into semi-autonomous entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, which is comprised of Bosniaks and Croats who are in favor of NATO membership, and the Republika Sprska, which governs the Serbs who are opposed to NATO membership. Oh, and to confuse matters further, Bosnia's presidency is shared by three people, a Bosniak, a Croat, and a Serb.
It's easy to envision a scenario resembling the situation in Ukraine, where Bosnia becomes fragmented, with a pro-Russian Slavic territory under Serbian or Russian protection.
As I described in my book SCORPION II, Russia also backed the 2016 coup attempt by Serbian paramilitaries in Montenegro. Recently, Russia has become increasingly active in the Balkans, hoping to curb Western influence in the region.
I definitely see a future story here. I've been wanting to do one set in the Balkans, a region/subject that tends to be ignored by most writers (Tom Wood's A Time To Die, and Frederick Forsyth's Avenger being the only exceptions that come immediately to mind, plus a couple old Mack Bolan novels like Blood Circle). So perhaps Avery will be visiting Bosnia soon, if I decide to keep him around.
UPDATE: Less than a day after I wrote this post, a Serbian politician, who was mediating talks to normalize relations between Serbia and its break-away province Kosovo, was assassinated.
UPDATE: Less than a day after I wrote this post, a Serbian politician, who was mediating talks to normalize relations between Serbia and its break-away province Kosovo, was assassinated.